Paterni kriminalnog ponašanja izvršioca serijskih razbojništava - studija slučaja
Sažetak
Autori u radu ispituju seriju od 24 pljačke koje je izvršio jedan učinilac, koristeći podatke dobijene od Ministarstva unutrašnjih poslova, tačnije od Policijske uprave grada Beograda. Kroz kvalitativnu analizu kriminalne istorije počinioca i njegovog načina delovanja, kao i analizu frekvencije i vremensko-prostorne distribucije, studija pruža sveobuhvatan uvid u obrasce kriminalnog ponašanja. Nalazi otkrivaju jasne preferencije u vezi sa vremenom izvršenja krivičnog dela (večernji sati između 19:00 i 23:00) i određenim mesecima (februar i april), kao i geografske klastere aktivnosti koncentrisane unutar određenih beogradskih opština i ulica. Analiza načina delovanja ističe doslednu upotrebu i planiranih i oportunističkih strategija usmerenih na minimiziranje rizika i maksimiziranje koristi. Rezultati doprinose dubljem razumevanju obrazaca serijskog kriminalnog ponašanja, nudeći i teorijske i praktične okvire za razvoj ciljanih preventivnih i operativnih strategija u policijskoj praksi.
Reference
Agnew, R. (2005). Why Do Criminals Offend? A General Theory of Crime and Delinquency. Roxbury Publishing.
Agnew, R. (2001). Building on the foundation of general strain theory: Specifying the types of strain most likely to lead to crime and delinquency. Journal of Research in Crime and Delinquency, 38(4), 319–361. https://doi.org/10.1177/0022427801038004001
Ainsworth, P.B. (2001). Offender profiling and crime analysis. Portland, OR: William Publishing.
Akers, R. L. (2017). Social learning and social structure: A general theory of crime and deviance (2nd ed.). Routledge.
Akers, R. L., & Jennings, W. G. (2017). Social learning theory and the explanation of crime. Routledge. https://doi.org/10.4324/9781315129594
Alison, L. J., Goodwill, A., Almond, L., van den Heuvel, C., & Winter, J. M. (2010). Pragmatic solutions to offender profiling and behavioural investigative advice. Legal and Criminological Psychology, 15(1), 115–132. https://doi.org/10.1348/135532509X463347
Baić, V. & Lajić, O. (2017). Analysis of criminal behaviour of serial perpetrators of the crime of rape. NBP - Journal of Criminalistics and Law, 22(1):33-51 https://doi.org/10.5937/nabepo22-13316
Baglivio, M. T., Wolff, K. T., & Piquero, A. R. (2017). The continuity of serious and violent offending: Examining criminal career dimensions and offender typologies. Youth Violence and Juvenile Justice, 15(2), 133–151. https://doi.org/10.1177/1541204016672974
Bennell, C., Snook, B., MacDonald, S., House, J. C., & Taylor, P. J. (2012). Computerized crime linkage systems: A critical review and research agenda. Criminal Justice and Behavior, 39(5), 620–634. https://doi.org/10.1177/0093854811435210
Bonta, J., & Andrews, D. A. (2007). Risk-Need-Responsivity Model for Offender Assessment and Rehabilitation. Criminal Justice and Behavior, 34(3), 113-134.
Canter, D., & Youngs, D. (2009). Investigative Psychology: Offender Profiling and the Analysis of Criminal Action. Wiley-Blackwell.
Cornish, D. B., & Clarke, R. V. (1986). The Reasoning Criminal: Rational Choice Perspectives on Offending. Springer.
DeLisi, M., & Piquero, A. R. (2011). New frontiers in criminal careers research, 2000–2011: A state-of-the-art review. Journal of Criminal Justice, 39(4), 289–301. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2011.05.001
DeLisi M., Vaughn M. G. (2014). Foundation for a temperament-based theory of antisocial behavior and criminal justice system involvement. Journal of Criminal Justice, 42(1), 10–25. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2013.11.001
Farrington, D. P. (2003). Developmental and life-course criminology: Key theoretical and empirical issues. Criminology, 41(2), 221–255. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1745-9125.2003.tb00987.x
Felson, M., & Clarke, R. V. (1998). Opportunity Makes the Thief: Practical Theory for Crime Prevention. Police Research Series.
Felson, M., & Boba, R. (2010). Crime and Everyday Life (4th ed.). Sage.
Jones, D. N., & Neria, A. L. (2015). The Dark Triad and dispositional aggression. Personality and Individual Differences, 86, 360–364. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.paid.2015.06.021
Kocsis, R.N. (2006). Criminal profiling: Principles and practice. Totowa, NJ: Human Press.
Krstić, M. S. (2020). Teorija racionalnog izbora – ograničenja i alternative. Sociološki pregled, 54(1), 40–63. https://doi.org/10.5937/socpreg54-22028
Loeber, R., Slot, W., & Stouthamer-Loeber, M. (2008). A cumulative developmental model of risk and promotive factors. In R. Loeber, W. Slot, M. Stouthamer-Loeber, & D. P. Farrington (Eds.), Tomorrow's criminals: The development of child delinquency and effective interventions (pp. 133–161). Routledge.
Maruna, S., & Copes, H. (2005). What have we learned in five decades of neutralization research? Crime and Justice, 32, 221–320. https://doi.org/10.1086/655357
Grigoryeva, M. S., & Matsueda, R. L. (2018). Rational choice, deterrence and crime: Sociological contributions. In G. Bruinsma & D. Weisburd (Eds.), Encyclopedia of criminology and criminal justice (pp. 4316–4327). Sage.
Moffitt, T. E. (1993). Adolescence-limited and life-course-persistent antisocial behavior: A developmental taxonomy. Psychological Review, 100(4), 674–701. https://doi.org/10.1037/0033-295X.100.4.674
Moffitt, T. E. (2018). Male antisocial behaviour in adolescence and beyond. Nature Human Behaviour, 2(2), 177-186.
Oljača, M., Sadiković, S., Dinić, B., & Baić, V. (2021). Dark Tetrad and psychological distress among male violent offenders and male community adults. Applied Psychology, 14(4), 509-537. 10.19090/pp.2021.4. 509-537
Paulhus, D. L. (2014). Toward a taxonomy of dark personalities. Current Directions in Psychological Science, 23(6), 421–426. https://doi.org/10.1177/0963721414547737
Piquero, A. R., & Tibbets, S. G. (2002). Rational Choice and Criminal Behavior: Recent Research and Future Challenges. Routledge.
Raine, A., Brennan, P. A., Farrington, D. P., & Mednick, S. A. (1997). Biosocial bases of violence: Contributions from criminology and neuroscience. In A. Raine, P. A. Brennan, D. P. Farrington, & S. A. Mednick (Eds.), Biosocial Bases of Violence (pp. 1–20). Springer.
Rossmo, D. K. (1999). Geographic profiling (1st ed.). Routledge. https://doi.org/10.4324/9780367802011
Sadiković, S., Oljača, M., Branovački, B., Dinić, B., & Baić, V. (2019). Dark Tetrad and life events as predictors of offenders vs. general population. The paper was presented at the Scientific-Professional Conference Contemporary Trends in Psychology, Faculty of Philosophy, Novi Sad, October, 2019.
Sulejmanović, D. (2024). Gender differences in criminal recidivism. NBP - Journal of Criminalistics and Law, 29(3), 247–260. https://doi.org/10.5937/nabepo29-52561
Sykes, G. M., & Matza, D. (1957). Techniques of neutralization: A theory of delinquency. American Sociological Review, 22(6), 664–670. https://doi.org/10.2307/2089195
Topalli, V. (2005). When being good is bad: An expansion of neutralization theory. Criminology, 43(3), 797-836. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.0011-1348.2005.00024.x
Walsh, A., & Ellis, L. (2007). Criminology: An interdisciplinary approach. SAGE Publications.
Agnew, R. (2001). Building on the foundation of general strain theory: Specifying the types of strain most likely to lead to crime and delinquency. Journal of Research in Crime and Delinquency, 38(4), 319–361. https://doi.org/10.1177/0022427801038004001
Ainsworth, P.B. (2001). Offender profiling and crime analysis. Portland, OR: William Publishing.
Akers, R. L. (2017). Social learning and social structure: A general theory of crime and deviance (2nd ed.). Routledge.
Akers, R. L., & Jennings, W. G. (2017). Social learning theory and the explanation of crime. Routledge. https://doi.org/10.4324/9781315129594
Alison, L. J., Goodwill, A., Almond, L., van den Heuvel, C., & Winter, J. M. (2010). Pragmatic solutions to offender profiling and behavioural investigative advice. Legal and Criminological Psychology, 15(1), 115–132. https://doi.org/10.1348/135532509X463347
Baić, V. & Lajić, O. (2017). Analysis of criminal behaviour of serial perpetrators of the crime of rape. NBP - Journal of Criminalistics and Law, 22(1):33-51 https://doi.org/10.5937/nabepo22-13316
Baglivio, M. T., Wolff, K. T., & Piquero, A. R. (2017). The continuity of serious and violent offending: Examining criminal career dimensions and offender typologies. Youth Violence and Juvenile Justice, 15(2), 133–151. https://doi.org/10.1177/1541204016672974
Bennell, C., Snook, B., MacDonald, S., House, J. C., & Taylor, P. J. (2012). Computerized crime linkage systems: A critical review and research agenda. Criminal Justice and Behavior, 39(5), 620–634. https://doi.org/10.1177/0093854811435210
Bonta, J., & Andrews, D. A. (2007). Risk-Need-Responsivity Model for Offender Assessment and Rehabilitation. Criminal Justice and Behavior, 34(3), 113-134.
Canter, D., & Youngs, D. (2009). Investigative Psychology: Offender Profiling and the Analysis of Criminal Action. Wiley-Blackwell.
Cornish, D. B., & Clarke, R. V. (1986). The Reasoning Criminal: Rational Choice Perspectives on Offending. Springer.
DeLisi, M., & Piquero, A. R. (2011). New frontiers in criminal careers research, 2000–2011: A state-of-the-art review. Journal of Criminal Justice, 39(4), 289–301. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2011.05.001
DeLisi M., Vaughn M. G. (2014). Foundation for a temperament-based theory of antisocial behavior and criminal justice system involvement. Journal of Criminal Justice, 42(1), 10–25. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2013.11.001
Farrington, D. P. (2003). Developmental and life-course criminology: Key theoretical and empirical issues. Criminology, 41(2), 221–255. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1745-9125.2003.tb00987.x
Felson, M., & Clarke, R. V. (1998). Opportunity Makes the Thief: Practical Theory for Crime Prevention. Police Research Series.
Felson, M., & Boba, R. (2010). Crime and Everyday Life (4th ed.). Sage.
Jones, D. N., & Neria, A. L. (2015). The Dark Triad and dispositional aggression. Personality and Individual Differences, 86, 360–364. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.paid.2015.06.021
Kocsis, R.N. (2006). Criminal profiling: Principles and practice. Totowa, NJ: Human Press.
Krstić, M. S. (2020). Teorija racionalnog izbora – ograničenja i alternative. Sociološki pregled, 54(1), 40–63. https://doi.org/10.5937/socpreg54-22028
Loeber, R., Slot, W., & Stouthamer-Loeber, M. (2008). A cumulative developmental model of risk and promotive factors. In R. Loeber, W. Slot, M. Stouthamer-Loeber, & D. P. Farrington (Eds.), Tomorrow's criminals: The development of child delinquency and effective interventions (pp. 133–161). Routledge.
Maruna, S., & Copes, H. (2005). What have we learned in five decades of neutralization research? Crime and Justice, 32, 221–320. https://doi.org/10.1086/655357
Grigoryeva, M. S., & Matsueda, R. L. (2018). Rational choice, deterrence and crime: Sociological contributions. In G. Bruinsma & D. Weisburd (Eds.), Encyclopedia of criminology and criminal justice (pp. 4316–4327). Sage.
Moffitt, T. E. (1993). Adolescence-limited and life-course-persistent antisocial behavior: A developmental taxonomy. Psychological Review, 100(4), 674–701. https://doi.org/10.1037/0033-295X.100.4.674
Moffitt, T. E. (2018). Male antisocial behaviour in adolescence and beyond. Nature Human Behaviour, 2(2), 177-186.
Oljača, M., Sadiković, S., Dinić, B., & Baić, V. (2021). Dark Tetrad and psychological distress among male violent offenders and male community adults. Applied Psychology, 14(4), 509-537. 10.19090/pp.2021.4. 509-537
Paulhus, D. L. (2014). Toward a taxonomy of dark personalities. Current Directions in Psychological Science, 23(6), 421–426. https://doi.org/10.1177/0963721414547737
Piquero, A. R., & Tibbets, S. G. (2002). Rational Choice and Criminal Behavior: Recent Research and Future Challenges. Routledge.
Raine, A., Brennan, P. A., Farrington, D. P., & Mednick, S. A. (1997). Biosocial bases of violence: Contributions from criminology and neuroscience. In A. Raine, P. A. Brennan, D. P. Farrington, & S. A. Mednick (Eds.), Biosocial Bases of Violence (pp. 1–20). Springer.
Rossmo, D. K. (1999). Geographic profiling (1st ed.). Routledge. https://doi.org/10.4324/9780367802011
Sadiković, S., Oljača, M., Branovački, B., Dinić, B., & Baić, V. (2019). Dark Tetrad and life events as predictors of offenders vs. general population. The paper was presented at the Scientific-Professional Conference Contemporary Trends in Psychology, Faculty of Philosophy, Novi Sad, October, 2019.
Sulejmanović, D. (2024). Gender differences in criminal recidivism. NBP - Journal of Criminalistics and Law, 29(3), 247–260. https://doi.org/10.5937/nabepo29-52561
Sykes, G. M., & Matza, D. (1957). Techniques of neutralization: A theory of delinquency. American Sociological Review, 22(6), 664–670. https://doi.org/10.2307/2089195
Topalli, V. (2005). When being good is bad: An expansion of neutralization theory. Criminology, 43(3), 797-836. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.0011-1348.2005.00024.x
Walsh, A., & Ellis, L. (2007). Criminology: An interdisciplinary approach. SAGE Publications.
