Determinante ekonomskog rasta u pre-kriznom periodu

  • Vladimir Ristanovic Fakultet za poslovnu ekonomiju i preduzetništvo
  • Nikola Tasic Narodna banka Srbije, Fakultet za poslovnu ekonomiju i preduzetništvo
  • Ivan Nikolic Ekonomski institut
DOI: https://doi.org/10.5937/industrija46-18540
Ključne reči: Determinants of growth||, ||Determinante rasta, GMM model||, ||GMM model, Economic Growth||, ||Ekonomski rast,

Sažetak


U ovom radu analizirane su determinante ekonomskog rasta nakon Drugog svetskog rata do ekonomske krize (1953-2007). U analizi je korišćen dinamički opšti metoda momenta (GMM) panel za određivanje efekata realnih i monetarnih determinanti. Rezultati dobijeni od panela 61 zemlje ukazuju na to da se ekonomski rast razlikuje između perioda, kao i da zavisi od nivoa ekonomskog razvoja. Realne determinante rasta BDP-a (realni nivo BDP po glavi stanovnika, privatna potrošnja, investicije, državna potrošnja, izvoz i uvoz) utiču na ekonomski rast u svim zemljama, dok monetarne determinante (inflacija, kamatna stopa i strane direktne investicije) imaju važniju ulogu u razvijenim zemljama.

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Objavljeno
2018/11/13
Broj časopisa
Vol. 46 Br. 3 (2018)
Rubrika
Originalni naučni članak